The key to picking a weekly fantasy defense comes down to both teams offense. You want a good offense playing against a weak team, preferably with a young QB. The Browns, Bengals, and Panthers are great matchups each week.
Scoring defensive fantasy points is semi random, but you can increase your chance of a defensive TD if your team gets the lead, and forces the opponent to play from behind. Your odds get even better if you are matching up against a mistake prone quarterback. If David Carr is ever scheduled to play, grab that defensive matchup in the first round.
WEEKLY
For Week 1:
1. NY Giants
The giants have a solid defense with an elite defensive line, going against Rex Grossman and several position players worse than he is. I am not sure anyone predicted Grossman and Tim Hightower would be a starting backfield for the first week of 2011. As long as the G Men keep Santana Moss in front of them, this could be an eight sack shutout. Grossman is also good for at least a couple interceptions.
2. Texans
Throw this pick away if Peyton Manning shows up, but as of Tuesday, he is not expected to play. The Texans are perpetually overrated and have a pretty bad secondary, but I will take them against an offense of Kerry Collins and Pierre Garcon. If Matt Schaub and Arian Foster can get an early lead, Kerry Collins may be forced to air it out, which is great for the Texans Defense.
3. Cardinals
Not a great week to week pick. But you only get to play against a rookie quarterback making his first ever start once. The Cardinals should be able to do enough to confuse a young but promising Cam Newton. Also, if Kevin Kolb and Larry Fitzgerald put up a few TD's against a bad Carolina defense, the rookie QB could be forced into comeback mode.
4. Patriots
Weird things tend to happen on Monday Night Football, but I like my chances with a solid Patriots defense against Chad Henne and the Dolphins. The Dolphins are creative with their wildcat and other packages, but they will have to take a lot of chances to have a hope of keeping up with Tom Brady. That often leads to turnovers.
5. Steelers
I don't love the matchup with the Ravens, but they are a great D, and Polamalu is worth about five fantasy points by himself.
Sleeper: Browns
I don't like the team, but I love the matchup. The Bengals will be the worst offense in the league this year. They are starting a rookie 2nd rounder at quarterback in Andy Dalton, and quick... Name the Bengals top 3 receivers? Jerome Simpson, A.J. Green, Ryan Whalen. The Bengals will really be a great pick when they get to play the Steelers and Ravens.
Weekly Fantasy Football - Week 1 Defense Picks WEEKLY
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